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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Green has sunk 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while playing at home.

Jalen Green has tallied 33.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 19.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, easily managing to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to scoring, the Rockets's feeble 110.3 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home.

The Rockets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).

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