Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 20.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 8.1 per game this year.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 34.1% rate of made threes ranks 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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