Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 21.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Green has attempted 9.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Jalen Green has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-point shots, the Rockets's poor 34.0% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Timberwolves).
Jalen Green is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

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