Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 11, 2025 3:04 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Green has converted 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (60.1%).
The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

In terms of treys, the Rockets's lackluster 32.5% rate of drained threes measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Jalen Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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