Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 10, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Green has attempted 10.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Green has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile.
The matchup against Memphis is a strong one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (15.8).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
Jalen Green will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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