Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 15.9 shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Green has attempted 7.7 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Green has tallied 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

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