Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 15.7 field goals per game while at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 93rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 7.7 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.2% rate of made threes measures as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

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