Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 7.7 per game this year.
Jalen Green has tallied 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 101.6 points per game places fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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