Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 2:40 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 16.1 shots per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Green has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from facing the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a hard matchup.
Jalen Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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