Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 91st percentile for three-point attempts when playing on the road, posting 7.3 per game this year.
Jalen Green has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have posted 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Kings, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.5% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Kings).
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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