Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green lands in the 91st percentile for shots, posting 16.6 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green places in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 24 games (18.4).
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has missed 5.7 3-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.9 mark last year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Jalen Green will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance across the board.

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