Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 9.3 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 7.4 rate last year.
Jalen Green has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 9.4 clip, Jalen Green's missed field goals have jumped this year to 11.1 per game.
With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 106.8 points per game away from home places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on threes (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making this a difficult matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
Jalen Green stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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