Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green ranks in the 98th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 9.5 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 9.4 clip, Jalen Green's off-target shots have spiked this season to 11.4 per game.
The Rockets check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, struggling to get to the foul line.
Jalen Green should suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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