Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has logged 28.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 8.5 more than he's logged over the course of the year.
Jalen Green has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Jalen Green has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's played in all games this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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