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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Green has registered 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.3 more than he's registered in all games this season.

Jalen Green has successfully made 4.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's converted from three overall this year.

Jalen Green has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.6 more than he's played overall this season on the road.

The 5th-fastest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rockets check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goal attempts (3rd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

Jalen Green will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance across the board.

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