Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 19.1 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 8.6 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Jalen Green has averaged 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's subpar 35.1% rate of converted threes rates 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Jalen Green has attempted a mere 4.2 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 6.1 mark last season.

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