Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 91st percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 6.5 per game this year.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 10th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).
When playing on the road, the Lakers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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