Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 14.1 shots per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Green has attempted 8.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest 3-point rate in the league over the last 5 games (33.7%).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Rockets check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Jalen Green ought to experience a decrease in production across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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