Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Jalen Green has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.5 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Jalen Green will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

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