Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green places in the 85th percentile for shots, totaling 14.3 per game this year.
Jalen Green has made 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season at home.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 3-point attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making this a favorable matchup.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
When playing away from home, the Nets have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Brooklyn may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting team (15th-least in the league).

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