Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 14.3 shots per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jalen Green has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this season while at home.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons).
The Houston Rockets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a challenging matchup.

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