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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Green has attempted 14.5 shots per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jalen Green has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.

With respect to treys, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 38.9% rate of converted threes while playing at home rates 8th-best in the NBA this year.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (7th-least in the league).

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