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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Green has attempted 5.9 three-point shots per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jalen Green has tallied 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's stellar 39.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 6th-best in the league over the last 11 games.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Jalen Green has sunk 95.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (15.1).

The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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