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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green rates in the 85th percentile, logging a monstrous 18.5 points per game at home this year.

In terms of shots from downtown, the Rockets's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

Jalen Green has attempted 5.7 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.5 mark last year.

Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 7.3 rate, Jalen Green's shot attempts from beyond the arc have regressed this year to 6.1 per game.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 10.5 shot attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Rockets.

The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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