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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 80th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, totaling a massive 3.7 free throws per game at home this year.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.1 free throws per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 17.9 clip, Jalen Green's field goal attempts have dropped this year to 15.3 per game.

Jalen Green has attempted a measly 6.1 threes per game this year, significantly less than his 7.3 rate last year.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged 4.8 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Houston Rockets.

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