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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Green has played 30.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.7 three-pointers per game (25th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup.
  • The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
  • Among all players in the league, Jalen Green ranks in the 85th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a whopping 4.4 foul shot attempts per game while playing on the road this year.
  • The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Mavericks are playing at home (21st-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Green has attempted a mere 15.4 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 17.9 rate last season.
  • Jalen Green has attempted a mere 6.1 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.3 rate last season.
  • The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
  • On the road, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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