Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 17.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Green has attempted 7.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.3).
The matchup against Austin Reaves is a favorable one for treys; when defending opposing starting SGs this year, they have made a monstrous 38.4% of their three-point shots (77th percentile).
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should increase possessions for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
The Houston Rockets have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.
On the road, the Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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