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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Green has successfully made 8.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Jalen Green has made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

Jalen Green has tallied 33.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup against Tyler Herro is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when matched up against fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a whopping 7.3 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

The matchup vs. Tyler Herro is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Herro is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game (11th percentile).

Jalen Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production for all stats.

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