Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 9.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Jalen Green has successfully made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's made from three over the course of the season while on the road.
Jalen Green has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.5 rate last year.
Jalen Green has averaged 33.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Kings is a tough one for scoring; playing at home, opposing clubs have compiled the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (50.4%).
The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a hard one for field goal attempts; playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-least FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (9.8).
Jalen Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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