Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has converted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should raise possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's poor 33.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Jalen Green will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production for all stats.

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