Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -184 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Jalen Green has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's played in all games this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

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