Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 3:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 8.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.4 3-point attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Rockets.
With the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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