Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has put up 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.1 higher than he's put up in all games this year at home.
Jalen Green has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

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