Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has put up 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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