Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has posted 3.6 assists per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Jalen Green has played 30.3 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

This year, the other team has collected 12.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).
Jalen Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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