Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has averaged 3.6 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch: 83rd percentile.
Jalen Green has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Jalen Green will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

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