Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has totaled 3.2 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric in recent days.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Away from their home court, the Pacers have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will likely see an increase in performance across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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