Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has totaled 3.8 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this standard in recent days: 84th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.8 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

The 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 14 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).
Jalen Green will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

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