Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.6 minutes per game at home this year.
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to boost stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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