Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has compiled an impressive 3.8 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.5 assists per game last year.
Jalen Green has tallied 31.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this contest.

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