Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 1:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-154/+119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has played 30.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Jalen Green has posted a measly 2.9 assists per game this season, quite a bit less than his 3.7 assists per game last season.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
On the road, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.

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