Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has tallied 30.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).
Jalen Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has posted a measly 2.8 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.7 assists per game last season.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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