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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Assists
Player Prop - 3/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Green has put up 2.8 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 75th percentile.

Jalen Green has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Houston Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Green has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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