Jalen Brunson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has posted an impressive 3.1 defensive rebounds per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.1 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 34.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 0.0 clip, Jalen Brunson's technical fouls have spiked this season to 0.2 per game.
The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
This year, opposing teams have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Jalen Brunson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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