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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2025

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
  • The New York Knicks are expected to see a spike in plays today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).
  • The Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
  • As a team, the New York Knicks have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying just 23.3 foul shot attempts per game.

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