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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2025

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The Pistons have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the New York Knicks.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 10th-best in in the league on their home court with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jalen Brunson has converted 7.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year with the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.7 free throws per game this year when the Pistons are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 22.1 rate, Jalen Brunson's shots taken have dropped this season to 18.5 per game.

The Knicks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 37.4% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a hard matchup.

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the New York Knicks.

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