Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 4:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson registers in the 98th percentile, logging a massive 26.1 points per game this year.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have scored 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The New York Knicks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Brunson has made 91.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year.
The New York Knicks will likely see a decline in opportunities today from facing the slowest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Jalen Brunson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.

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