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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has posted 23.6 points per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.

Jalen Brunson has converted 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year on his home court.

Jalen Brunson has played 33.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should boost plays for the Knicks.

The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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