Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Brunson places in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The New York Knicks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Brunson has successfully made 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made over the course of the year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 29.3 rate, Jalen Brunson's points per game have dropped this season to 24.3.
This year, opposing starting PGs have notched 13.7 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
In regard to drawing fouls, the Knicks's subpar 19.0 foul shots per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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