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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2024

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has attempted 20.9 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 18.0 mark last season.

Jalen Brunson has attempted 8.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the New York Knicks.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to scoring, the Knicks's lackluster 42.4% field goal percentage while on their home court places fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Kings, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.

The slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.

The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).

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